Question. Does Trump need that all juros in the D.C. trial to condem him as gulty?

@MP Yes, US now requires unanimous juries (and federal government did even before a recent Supreme Court dexision). Generally, failure to reach unanimity is a mistrial and the prosecution can try again if desired.

@Jason Are all crimes like that?

Created a market that includes home confinement, which I think is more likely given practical problems with his entitlement to Secret Service protection:

Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?

50% chance. I included home confinement in part because of the practical problems of sentencing someone statutorily entitled to Secret Service protection to prison. Any sentence based on conviction in a criminal case counts. Pretrial confinement does not count (although this would be extremely unli…