Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?
Plus
13
Ṁ2722026
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025
To quality for having used Manifold data, at least 100 questions from Manifold should have been used for the research paper.
Resolves No if no one are able to show that a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025
Some current candidate papers:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@SusanneinFrance the authors doesn't necessarily have to pull representative data to use it in a research paper.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563
This paper used a non representative sample
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold be cited in a paper from a top-tier AI lab or AI journal before 2025?
11% chance
How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2024?
By the end of 2024, will Manifold's search function still be worse than Google at finding relevant markets?
67% chance
How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2025?
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will "manifold markets" be searched more than "1k-10k" in monthly average on Google in 2024?
61% chance
How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2026?
Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page reach “Good article” status by end of 2024?
6% chance
By the end of 2024, will anyone have used Manifold to gain fame elsewhere?
19% chance
Will Manifold consider the same paper to be the most important paper published in 2024 when polled in 2025 and 2030?
24% chance