Will I post about working olympiad-prediction-system on LessWrong in 2024?
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Will you?

@GazDownright If I complete it, almost certainly!

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Sounds interesting!

@ian I also believe that after a bit of reworking it could be used for Manifold, and maybe even publicly: ask users for their self-estimated interest vectors and maybe even goals like "want to read more about technology but less about crypto", calculate actual interest and belief vectors, subsidize new markets accordingly!