Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?
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This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 requiring hardware security features on cutting-edge chips. Such features can be used for various compute governance purposes, such as verifying compliance with export controls and domestic regulations, monitoring chip activity without leaking sensitive IP, limiting usage, or even enabling remote shutdown in emergencies.
Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
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