Will the US permit China to buy B200 chips before the end of 2025?
7
Ṁ3228Dec 31
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
After letting China legally purchase H20s, AI Czar David Sacks has doubled down on export controls not working. Today (8/6/25) he retweeted an article claiming that export restrictions have failed. Will he and Trump
end them entirely?
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
20% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
9% chance
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2026)
38% chance
how many B30A / Blackwell GPUs will China purchase by EOY 2026
-
Will China ban iPhones before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?
35% chance
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2032)
58% chance
Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?
42% chance
NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?
56% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
95% chance