MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
Mini
5
Ṁ215
2026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.

See also:

#️ Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
-5% 1d5% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
96% chance
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
87% chance
Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?
12% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
79% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
14% chance

Related questions

Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
87% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?
12% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
79% chance
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
96% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
14% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout