MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
➕
Plus
14
Ṁ2425
Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.

See also:

#️ Politics
#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
1 Comment
Sort by:

i don’t have good priors/info on this but i like that the ai generated a sign that just says MOSOW

Related questions

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Kazakhstan experience mass mobilization, for any reasons, before end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Kazakhstan be classified as a "hybrid regime" by 2025?
25% chance
Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
4% chance

Related questions

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Kazakhstan experience mass mobilization, for any reasons, before end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Kazakhstan be classified as a "hybrid regime" by 2025?
25% chance
Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout