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Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?
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25
Ṁ8340
Dec 31
3%
chance
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predicts NO

Almaty is closer to Kyrgystan than most of Kazachstan. There was no earthquake this strong for almost 140 years, so I estimate yearly base rate under 1%.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_Kyrgyzstan

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