Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025? | Manifold

Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?

Plus

21

Ṁ4960

Jan 1

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves according to the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative democracy index. Since the 2022 report was published on February 1, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 2 months into 2026.

"Flawed democracy" counts.

See also:

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

Year 1 (of 3) complete: Turkey's score has dropped from 4.35 to 4.33. Two years remain until the conclusion of this market.

currently at 4.35; down from 5.76 in 2012. Needs a 6.00 to resolve YES.

Related questions

Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?

Erdogan president of Turkey through 2025?

Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?

Turkish troops stationed in Gaza by end of 2025?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2025?

Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2025?

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

Will there be a civil war in Turkey before 2035?

Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Related questions

Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2025?

Erdogan president of Turkey through 2025?

Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2025?

Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

Turkish troops stationed in Gaza by end of 2025?

Will there be a civil war in Turkey before 2035?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules