Will GPT-5 be released before Joe Biden ceases to be president?
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16
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Jan 20
20%
chance

(the model doesn't literally have to be named GPT-5; if OpenAI releases a new model that people widely consider to be GPT-5-equivalent, that counts.)

(Biden temporarily stepping aside under the 25th amendment does not count as "ceasing" to be president. a new president must be inaugurated.)

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