Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
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32
Ṁ27082030
65%
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At the time of market creation, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex are making headlines due to the release of Harry's autobiography, which makes several sensational claims and has widened the rift between them and the rest of the British royal family. At present their relationship seems strong, but given the level of strife it has brought to both of them, it is not inconceivable that it could break down at some future point.
This market resolves YES if the couple are legally divorced before 1st January 2030, NO otherwise.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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