Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Mini
35
Ṁ78012027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
21%
Democrats control Congress
55%
Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate
1.1%
Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate
23%
Republicans control Congress
Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the Wikipedia page for the United States Congress: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress.
Independents will be counted based on which party they caucus with.
A tie in the Senate will be resolved by the Vice President's party.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
@EvanDaniel I will resolve according to this Wikipedia page, once the results are finalized:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress
The two independent senators caucus with the Democrats and that's how they're counted, so I assume the same would apply for the House.
Yes, a senate tie resolves according to the Vice President's party.
Related questions
Related questions
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
22% chance
Outcome of the 2028 Presidential Election
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
18% chance
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
60% chance
Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)
82% chance