Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
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18
Ṁ1559
2027
13%
Democrats control Congress
69%
Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate
3%
Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate
15%
Republicans control Congress

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How will independents be counted? Based on who they caucus with?

How will a senate tie be counted? I assume tie resolves according to VP?

@EvanDaniel I will resolve according to this Wikipedia page, once the results are finalized:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress
The two independent senators caucus with the Democrats and that's how they're counted, so I assume the same would apply for the House.
Yes, a senate tie resolves according to the Vice President's party.