Federal AI preemption provision passes by July 14, 2025?
39
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Jul 14
13%
chance

The House Energy & Commerce Committee has included a provision in its reconciliation bill that would ban AI regulation by state and local governments for the next 10 years.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if this provision passes both the House and the Senate and is signed into law by the President before July 14, 2025. Resolution will be based on official legislative records and credible news sources.

See also: https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2025/05/stopping-states-passing-ai-laws-next-decade-terrible-idea

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bought Ṁ400 NO

I feel like the yes bettors here aren't appreciating what it would mean to bypass the Byrd rule/overrule the parliamentarian. The question is essentially "will the Senate effectively end the filibuster to pass the federal AI preemption by July 14"

@JoshYou Fwiw I think it's much more likely that they peel away enough Dems than that they end the filibuster, but that's still unlikely

Is this even constitutional? Is it relying on a very broad interpretation of the commerce clause?

bought Ṁ250 YES

@lumi fuck the constitution. its an out dated relic.

ai is 100x more important then human rights.

bought Ṁ750 NO

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