MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will qiaochu yuan win the Nobel prize in Peace or in literature?
5
แน€612
2106
1.9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Get
แน€1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
54% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
27% chance
When will Mircea Cฤƒrtฤƒrescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?
3% chance
Will Jose Luis ricon win the nobel prize in his lifetime?
3% chance
Will Kwon Young-Wan win a Nobel Prize?
3% chance
If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
8% chance
Will qiaochu yuan become a comedian
28% chance

Related questions

Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
54% chance
Will Jose Luis ricon win the nobel prize in his lifetime?
3% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Will Kwon Young-Wan win a Nobel Prize?
3% chance
Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
27% chance
If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
When will Mircea Cฤƒrtฤƒrescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
8% chance
Will William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?
3% chance
Will qiaochu yuan become a comedian
28% chance
Terms & Conditionsโ€ขPrivacy Policyโ€ขSweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout