
Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
Plus
32
Ṁ23722040
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
12% chance
Nobel Peace Prize insider charged in 2025?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
13% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
50% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
3% chance
Will Nobel Prizes be awarded in 2060?
70% chance
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?
84% chance
Will GiveWell exist in 2031? (X-risk doesn't count)
87% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
29% chance