Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?