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Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?
Mini
9
Ṁ273
2030
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Can be an organisation.

Donations are cumulative with what has already been given.

#GiveWell
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Related questions

Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) cumulative donor before 2025?
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Related questions

Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) cumulative donor before 2025?
8% chance
Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?
46% chance
Will GiveWell be funding constrained a majority of the time until 2030?
Will GiveWell be funding constrained through 2025?
88% chance
Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2030?
62% chance
Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2025?
46% chance
Will GiveWell exist in 2031? (X-risk doesn't count)
86% chance
If GiveWell exists, how much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2030?
1.2b
How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2024?
Will GiveWell's recommendations age poorly, by 2026?
27% chance
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