Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2030?
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Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2025?
46% chance
How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2024?
If GiveWell exists, how much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2030?
1.2b
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?
88% chance
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2023?
210m
If GiveWell exists, how much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2025?
410m
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2022?
430m
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2021?
490m
Will GiveWell be funding constrained a majority of the time until 2030?
Will the Patient Philanthropy Fund grow to $10m+ before 2030?
55% chance