Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2025?
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Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2030?
62% chance
How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2024?
If GiveWell exists, how much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2025?
410m
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2023?
210m
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) cumulative donor before 2025?
8% chance
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2022?
430m
If GiveWell exists, how much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2030?
1.2b
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?
88% chance
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2021?
490m
Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?
46% chance