Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 3.5 degrees C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2100
Resolves negative otherwise
https://web.archive.org/web/20220518083042/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11178
See also:
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up by more than 2.5°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 4°C by 2100?
1,000
1.00@RemNi In that particular case, if any major currently existing source (like the WMO) reports a qualifying climate temperature increase at the time the earth is dismantled, the market resolves positively; otherwise it resolves negatively.