GPT-5 releases when?
Plus
21
Ṁ2411Dec 31
2,025.43
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tests whether month-long buckets work decently for numeric markets. may N/A.
Get
1,000and
1.00
Sort by:

If I compute the culmulative function with these questions:

and then take the derivative (or like piecewise approximation of the derivative using buckets), how well does it match the curve in your question? 🤔
Related questions
Related questions
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
24% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
1% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
50% chance
Will GPT5 be released before July 1st 2025?
48% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
10% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
22% chance
When GPT-5 will released?
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2026?
93% chance
When will GPT5 be announced?
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
85% chance