When will the first humans set foot on Mars?
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Plus
15
Ṁ693
2074
2,043
expected

This market resolves to whatever year in which a human being sets foot on the surface of the planet Mars and remains alive for at least one minute after arriving. Orbiting doesn't count, nor does landing in a spaceship and taking off again without leaving the spacecraft.

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@strutheo Oh, I hadn't seen that. I'll keep this one bc i like the year-long buckets, but nice market :p

What does lower or higher mean in this case - lower is closer year than 2042?

bought Ṁ0 2033-2034 YES

@HenriLaupmaa I recommend pressing "about right" > "advanced" to see the full distribution, and picking the range you want to bet on