MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?
6
Ṁ626
Jan 1
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci

The gap between R1 and o3 at release was 8 points. Getting more than 145 points at release would mean V3.2 is at least as close to SOTA (Gemini 3 Pro) as R1 was, at release.

#AI
#️ Technology
#Technical AI Timelines
#Science
#Epoch AI
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
1 Comment
Sort by:
boughtṀ100YES

@PhilosophyBear do you want to bet more around 38%?

Related questions

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) in 2025?
V4 (DeepSeek) release date
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
93% chance
Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?
5% chance
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?
15% chance
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
12% chance
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
41% chance
R2 (DeepSeek) release date

Related questions

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) in 2025?
will deepseek-v4 destroy all other models?
15% chance
V4 (DeepSeek) release date
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
12% chance
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
93% chance
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
41% chance
Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?
5% chance
R2 (DeepSeek) release date
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout