Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US? | Manifold

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

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21

Ṁ2951

2038

27%

chance

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1M

ALL

Until the US is dissolved, be it by nanobots to power computronium, or by a hydrogen or more exotic bomb. alternatively, it may splinter into several countries, or be invaded by the Canadian army.

In any case, when such a dissolution occurs, will a nationwide abortion ban have ever been enacted, after market creation? If so, this market resolves YES when such a ban is enacted. If not, this market resolves NO upon the dissolution of the United States of America.

My money's on 4th of july 2038

#US Legislature

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bought Ṁ150 YES

Make it happen.

Would banning abortion after 39 weeks constitute a ban?

Any insight on what constitutes the smallest YES nationwide abortion ban? How would a situation à la certain-drug-policies resolve—federally criminalized yet also allowed by individual state laws? (Apologies if already specified in other markets.)

I think that would count. It's hard to tell what the smallest YES nationwide abortion ban would be, but if on a federal level abortion is illegal, whether for the doctor to allow abortion in general, or for the woman to get an abortion, or stuff like that, it would resolve this market YES

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Related questions

Will a National Abortion Ban Be Enacted in the US Before 2026?

Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?

Will Trump or J.D. Vance make a public statement explicitly supporting a nationwide abortion ban before May 1, 2025?

Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?

Will the US Congress pass a bill nationally protecting abortion during the 119th Congress (2025-27)?

Will US congress pass a law that prohibits the states from prohibiting abortion before 2050?

Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?

Will abortion be legalized nationwide or made illegal nationwide first

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