If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, will it cause an outbreak w/ ≥200 cases in one country?
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Related to the market: Will wild polio be reintroduced in the Americas before August 25th, 2029?
The resolution criteria is the same as the above mentioned market: only wild poliovirus count, and only cases that lead to local transmission count. Also, the ≥ ≥200 case count should be confirmed by the public health authority of a single country in the Americas for it to qualify as a YES.
See also: If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
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