Techno-Optimism for 2030
Mini
8
Ṁ121
2031
34%
chance

This market provides access to a portfolio of other markets concerning the development of technology by 2030. This market resolves as probability to the percentage of the markets below which resolve YES. Markets below that resolve to fraction themselves will be treated as a fraction of a YES resolution in the total. Markets below the resolve N/A will be treated as a 50% resolution.

/lukalot/will-neuralink-release-a-mass-marke

/error404/will-the-levelized-cost-of-electric

/MatthewBarnett/will-atomically-precise-manufacturi

/Forrest/will-ai-have-a-sudden-trillion-doll-83e962b65318

/LivInTheLookingGlass/will-att-offer-basic-internet-servi

/BoltonBailey/will-a-supersonic-plane-fly-commerc

/JamesGiammona/will-a-human-step-foot-on-mars-by-2

/BoltonBailey/quantum-telescopes-by-2030

/JamesBills/will-a-nuclear-fusion-reaction-be-m

/Sky/will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina

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Current average price as of April 16, 2023 is (15% + 82% + 30% + 80% + 70% + 42% + 11% + 29% + 43% + 33%)/10 = 43.5%.

predicts NO

oops, I meant "average percentage"