Will AI get IMO Gold by 2025/Wipe out Humanity by 2030?
Plus
13
Ṁ16862030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Gets gold/wipes out humanity
56%
Gets gold/does not wipe out humanity
1.9%
Does not get gold/wipes out humanity
39%
Does not get gold/does not wipe out humanity
Resolves based on the outcome of these two other markets:
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
30% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
81% chance
Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?
12% chance
Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?
60% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
14% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
3% chance
Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
82% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
9% chance
Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027?
24% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance