Full question:
"Will a major tech company publicly announce the development of a functional brain-computer interface (BCI) capable of reading and interpreting complex human thoughts by the end of 2030?"
Description:
This market resolves to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, a major tech company (such as Google, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, or a comparable entity) publicly announces the development of a functional brain-computer interface (BCI) that can read and interpret complex human thoughts with a high degree of accuracy. The market resolves to "No" if no such announcement is made within this timeframe.
Resolution Criteria:
Major Tech Company: The announcement must come from a well-established tech company known for significant advancements in technology and innovation, such as Google, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, or similar.
Functional BCI: The brain-computer interface must be described as capable of reading and interpreting complex human thoughts, not just basic signals or rudimentary commands. The announcement must include details on the functionality and intended applications of the BCI.
Public Announcement: The information must be officially announced through credible channels such as a press release, official company blog, major tech conferences (e.g., CES, TechCrunch Disrupt), or widely recognized media outlets.
Verification: The announcement must be reported by multiple major news outlets and verified by experts in the field. Speculative reports, leaks, or unconfirmed rumors do not constitute sufficient evidence.
Examples of Complex Human Thoughts:
Thoughts related to specific memories or detailed plans.
Interpreting abstract concepts or emotions.
Understanding complex language or problem-solving processes.
Timing:
The question will be resolved based on information available by December 31, 2030. This extended timeframe allows for significant technological advancements and maintains prolonged interest in the potential development of such a groundbreaking technology.
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