How many seconds will Sora take to generate 10 seconds of video?
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Mar 1
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When I get access to Sora, I will generate a 10 second video at 1080p resolution. The market will resolve to X%, where X is the number of seconds between the moment I press the "generate" button to the moment I can start playing the video. If it takes >100 seconds, this market resolves to 100%.

If I can't generate exactly 10 seconds of video, I will try to generate somewhere between 9 and 11 seconds. If I can't generate the video at 1080p, I will generate it at a resolution with somewhere between 80-125% of 1920x1080 (2,073,600) pixels. If I can't do either of these, I will wait until I can to resolve this market.

I will use the following prompt:

"A stylish woman walks down a Tokyo street filled with warm glowing neon and animated city signage. She wears a black leather jacket, a long red dress, and black boots, and carries a black purse. She wears sunglasses and red lipstick. She walks confidently and casually. The street is damp and reflective, creating a mirror effect of the colorful lights. Many pedestrians walk about."

EDIT: clarified that "if it takes >100 seconds, this market resolves to 100%." Also clarified that I will try to generate video at 1080p resolution.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The creator will accept a screen recording from anyone with access to Sora showing the generation of a video matching the specified criteria. Otherwise, they will wait until they can personally generate a video at the required specifications.

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If I can't generate exactly 10 seconds of video, I will try to generate somewhere between 9 and 11 seconds. If I can't generate the video at 1080p, I will generate it at a resolution with somewhere between 80-125% of 1920x1080 (2,073,600) pixels. If I can't do either of these, I will wait until I can to resolve this market.

Looks like I probably won't be able to generate 1080p video unless I get ChatGPT Pro: https://openai.com/sora/. I'd rather not pay $200 for this, but if anyone wants to test this themselves and send me a screen recording, I can use that to resolve this market. Otherwise, I'll wait until it becomes cheaper to generate 1080p video and test it then.