What will be announced during OpenAI's "12 days of Shipmas?" (add your own)
Plus
39
Ṁ3382Dec 25
1D
1W
1M
ALL
85%
Updates to DALL-E
67%
GPT-4.5
53%
New small model (less than $1 per MToken)
51%
Computer use a la Anthropic
47%
An AI with an original name we haven't heard before (not Sora, o1, Orion, anything with GPT in it, etc.)
35%
A research advancement specifically focused on safety/alignment
26%
New output modalities besides text, images, audio, or video (ex: direct control of robotic actuators, weather predictions)
24%
New input modalities besides text, images, audio, or video (ex: DNA sequences, 3D point clouds)
16%
An advancement in robotics
15%
>=1 second per second video generation
14%
AI-rendered video game (see my recent market for details)
4%
GPT-5
Resolved
YESSora available to use
Resolved
YESFull o1 model available to use
OpenAI will be announcing something every day for the next 12 days. What will be announced?
https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/4/24312352/openai-sora-o1-reasoning-12-days-shipmas
"Available to use" means available to some members of the public, not just to private alpha testers, but not necessarily to all free users either.
I'm sure there will be no controversy about the resolution of any of these markets 🤞 if you add your own, you're responsible for determining resolution
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