40% on cybench by EOY 2024
Plus
4
Ṁ320Jan 1
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2408.08926
right now like 20% is SOTA (unguided)
due to the nature of agent benchmark revisions, i won’t trade on this market
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Will this market > 50% by the EOY 2024?
61% chance
Will >50% of the tasks in the WebArena benchmark be solved by EOY 2024?
62% chance
80% on SWE-Bench Verified by Jan 1 2025
11% chance
Who will have the highest Single-Core Geekbench score at the end of 2024?
Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
67% chance
What will be the best score on the WebArena benchmark before 2025?
64% chance
Will over 25% of ESPR cohorts of 2020-2024 have manifold.markets accounts by EOY 2024?
50% chance
🆒CoolFold 25 Challenge: What will these 25 values be at EOY 2025?
6 or more stocks in the top 20 by number of traders at EOY 2024?
72% chance