Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040? | Manifold

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Plus

54

Ṁ1956

2041

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Does not resolve positively if Manifold offers additional things you can trade mana for - trades themselves have to involve USD or another currency.

#Manifold Business Future

#Carson's Important Markets

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bought Ṁ50 YES

@CarsonGale do prize point qualify if we get an USD exchange rate?

Yes for full USD exchange

Arbitrage, sort of:

Assuming Manifund doesn't count, why not? Is predicting charitable impact too narrow of a scope for it to count as a prediction market?

Does manifold have any CTFC connections?

CFTC

predicts NO

@xyz Not that I know of.

Would love to be wrong.

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Related questions

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

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Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024 or 2025?

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Will Manifold Markets add betting with USD by 2035?

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