Resolves according to my subjective judgement. I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary. I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
"Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
Oct 21, 12:55pm: Will the animal rights movement be perceived to be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)? → Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
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1.00@JacyAnthis Still, naively you’d imagine this as close to 50%
I actually believe the market though, but more because fake meat is getting better lol, which means more people get to remove their cognitive dissonance and go veg
@Conflux But probably the animal rights movement asks for more as they make progress, unclear if they end up getting credit for past success.
