How much territory will Ukraine's new offensive capture before Trump’s inauguration?
Mini
7
Ṁ236Jan 20
1D
1W
1M
ALL
70%
0-499 square km
22%
500 - 999 square km
2%
1000 - 1999 square km
1.2%
2000 - 2999 square km
1.5%
3000 - 3999 square km
1.5%
4000 - 4999 square km
1.5%
>= 5000 square km
This market resolves to the number of square kilometers captured or liberated by Ukraine, as reported by the Institute for the Study of War (www.understandingwar.org), by January 20.
UPDATE https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ukraine-launches-new-offensive-kursk-russia-war-putin-trump-rcna186274:
Background:
Russian milbloggers are claiming that Ukraine has started a new offensive in Kursk. It is currently unclear whether these claims are accurate, and if so, what the scope of the offensive might be. It could potentially be just a diversion.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump End the Ukraine War Within 90 days of Taking Office? [see description]
25% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
74% chance
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2025?
11% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
30% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
7% chance
Will Trump solve the Russia-Ukraine war within a day of his election?
4% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
13% chance
Will Russia end it’s war with Ukraine before the next US presidential inauguration?
3% chance
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
24% chance
If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
14% chance