Bolsonaro sentenced (unappealably) to prison or house by May 25, 2025
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5
Ṁ301
2025
6%
chance

This market resolves based on whether Bolsonaro receives either a prison or house arrest sentence. Resolution will be based on official court decisions or reliable news reporting.

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Does a conviction in the first instance count for this market to resolve as 'Yes,' considering that in Brazil imprisonment typically only occurs after confirmation in a higher court?

@FranklinBaldo Great question that required me to learn a thing or two. Let's say that the sentence must be considered final and unappealable. I have edited the description and title.

Any reason for this specific date?

@FranklinBaldo No specific reason