Will physical passports still be needed to travel between most countries in 2035?
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2
Ṁ852035
75%
chance
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1W
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ALL
Will resolve no if countries no longer exists, or if a Superintelligence kills all physical human beings.
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Betting against both the strong (majority of countries by number of countries) and weak (countries making up 51%+ of the world’s population, say) interpretations of “most countries”, though I could see trouble with something like “China and India issue and honor each other’s digital passports”.
Presumably this will be easy to resolve negatively, but I’d be curious about how to evaluate separate digital passport networks / reference countries.
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