Will transformers still be the dominant DL architecture in 2026?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ1354
2026
61%
chance

Resolves true if I judge, based on the common opinion among deep learning researchers, that transformers remain the most popular architecture in deep learning research at the start of 2026. If the answer is not clear, resolves true if at least 50% of arXiv papers from 2025 on A.I. mention transformers, otherwise resolves false.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

Apparently there is already a very similar market!

https://manifold.markets/LeoGao/will-transformer-based-architecture