Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?
Plus
11
Ṁ11072026
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Ardern served as Prime Minister from Oct 2017 to Jan 2023, when she resigned despite being fairly popular, citing burnout and a desire to spend time with family. But will she decide to make a comeback in the 2026 Parliamentary elections? (or earlier)
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@TimothyJohnson5c16 Yeah, I think that’s right … I don’t follow NZ politics that closely. I think I wrote that still imagining covid era jacindamania (which includes me, I love jacinda)
Related questions
Related questions
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
25% chance
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?
59% chance
Will the Prime Minister of New Zealand lose the game by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will the new NZ government actually revert the smoke free legislation before the end of 2024?
73% chance
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Will there be an off-year snap election in New Zealand by 2040?
30% chance
Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Will Winston Peters retire?
59% chance
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?