Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ1107
2026
5%
chance

Ardern served as Prime Minister from Oct 2017 to Jan 2023, when she resigned despite being fairly popular, citing burnout and a desire to spend time with family. But will she decide to make a comeback in the 2026 Parliamentary elections? (or earlier)

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

Is it true that "she resigned despite being fairly popular"? If I understand correctly, her approval rating had dropped to around 30% when she left.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Yeah, I think that’s right … I don’t follow NZ politics that closely. I think I wrote that still imagining covid era jacindamania (which includes me, I love jacinda)