Will there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Plus
24
αΉ27522026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, as reported by at least two major news outlets. A credible attempt means law enforcement confirms the threat was real and steps were taken to prevent it.
Resolution will be based on official law enforcement statements and verified news reports.
References:
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Comment hidden
Comment hidden
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
21% chance
Will Trump attack one of Elon Musk's companies in the next month?
28% chance
Elon Musk announces support for a Democratic candidate before August 1, 2025
9% chance
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
32% chance
Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
59% chance
Elon Musk appears at a far-right political event before August 1, 2025
31% chance
Will anyone attempt to assassinate Elon Musk in 2025?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk be assassinated?
16% chance
Will there be a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk confirmed by law enforcement by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027
27% chance