Will Moody’s Investors Service downgrade the US Credit Rating before 2025?
Will Moody’s Investors Service downgrade the US Credit Rating before 2025?
Mini
5
Ṁ273Dec 31
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Fitch Ratings just cut the US credit rating from AAA to AA+. S&P did the same in 2011. Will Moody's Investors Service echo this move before the end of 2025?
Background:
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
@Daconomist title says "before 2025" but description says "before end of 2025". Consider editing the title to match the description? Otherwise it reads as "before start of 2025".
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
60% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
33% chance
Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA or lower before the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?
38% chance
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt obligations by December 31, 2025?
3% chance
Will the US government default on its debt by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Greece gain an investment-grade credit rating by Fitch or Standard & Poor before 2026?
63% chance