Before 2027, will Manifold Markets be considered a social media competitor to Twitter?
Before 2027, will Manifold Markets be considered a social media competitor to Twitter?
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Ṁ1892
2026
9%
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Without having to actually use money, this just feels like social media. I think this is a very strong social media tool to get to the hard questions. Like twitter is a bastion for news, Manifold Markets has the potential to be the same.

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2y

By whom? What if I already use it that way?

predicts NO 2y

@TassiloNeubauer Right now, I think Would make another market asking people from manifold markets that will be open for one week prior to this market closing. If 30% of people say it is a competitor, then this market will resolve to "Yes".

predicts NO 2y

@DanielKilian if you're asking people who are on Manifold, that biases the answer towards yes, I think?

2y

Hope yes, bet no

2y

@noumena Thank you!

2y
2y

@IsaacKing would make more sense to talk about it on here now, for Manifold Market's sake? Exposure and whatnot?

But yeah, I could see having to pay to make a market, but placing bets on the market should be via mana. That may help.

2y

@DanielKilian You already do have to pay to create a market, it costs Ṁ50.

2y

@IsaacKing lol i forget so quickly. thanks!

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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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