Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?

Will at least 20% of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

What portion of US Jews will identify as Democrats in 2031?

I will conduct a brexit twitter poll in 2030, what will the % Leave be?

By 2030, will 20% of voters identify as longtermists?

Will right-wing parties take more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 European Parliament elections?

Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?

Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?

Will a quarter of Americans be generally unhappy before 2030?