Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030? | Manifold

Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030?

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9

Ṁ82

2030

51%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

Will be measured by taking as many articles reporting user-share during 2029 , to then average out the reports and make a decision

#️ X (Twitter)

#Meta (Facebook)

#Decentralization

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Interesting market. I don't think a standalone product could hit this metric, but if Apple or Google decided to build a decentralized SN simply using their communications network (without top-down control), that could easily exceed 5%.

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