Will tesla ($TSLA) be above 210$/s in one year? [13.03.2025]
Mini
19
แน€2736
Mar 13
92%
chance
Assuming the risk free rate for 1y (0.05) and TSLA volatility last year (0.48). This would be fair odds at 50%.

Will be corrected by splits, and delusion, the best way to measure is by looking at Mcap.

Will resolve Yes if Mcap os tesla on 13.03.2025 is above or at $658B

Will resolve No if under or goes bankrupt.

Resolves N/A for any other events (ex. Tesla merges)

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bought แน€900 YES

@DavideBerweger Trading at 227 now, and market cap is 713. Should resolve YES

@TonyPepperoni My read of the criteria is that it had to be over $658B specifically on March 13, 2025.