Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?
Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?
10
Ṁ281Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
90%
May
76%
June
66%
July
53%
August
38%
September
30%
October
30%
November
30%
December
Resolved
YESApril
This question will resolve as Yes for each month if, on any day of the respective month, the S&P 500 closes lower than $5,521.52, below its latest dip (March 13), according to Yahoo Finance.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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