Can’t someone just email Dwarkesh and ask him so we can move on? Whatever excitement he was trying to build up has long fizzled out.

@NicoMach also, he should personally apologize to everyone in this market for pushing this vaporware; very unprofessional of him!

he probably won't be able to say who it was but might be able to say like "it didn't pan out" so we can N/A the market or smth

the Manifold team are all friends with Dwarkesh, and I'm sure if he doesn't explicitly say who he was referring to, they'll ask him directly.

they should encourage him to be more active on manifold :)

when is this going to actually resolve? He mentioned this months ago, how do we know it hasn't actually occurred already? he had Satya Nadella on....

@MattPen https://manifold.markets/Lorenzo/will-the-who-is-dwarkeshs-upcoming only one way to find out!

Will the "Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?" market resolve before 2026?

50% chance.

@MattPen who?

@NicoDelon 😅

@MattPen if someone on the list was interviewed how is this not resolved?

@FriendlyMerc we don't know Gwern's real size so there's no way to tell which one is the biggest

@Lorenzo 457kb

Let's not have that happen again:

Emalil to Satya was sent on Jan 25, 2025

https://x.com/citnotcitta/status/1892362691383029997

Original tweet is from Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

So is he actually going to do Macron or was that just noise?

the real twitter thread

Not real!

@noaht2 really? I saw it on twitter

@NebulaByte if this was sent on Dec 27, 2024. Why is the market going up for this option JUST now?

@NebulaByte if it's real then share the link to the xeet

It’s Mark Zuckerberg again but he has a tank this time.

@HamzaThange zucc but he's shed his skin to allow growth to a larger size

Wait is it not Satya?

@nic_kup i burned a lot of mana lol