What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Red List in 2100?
Mini
1
Ṁ82
2100
57%
Extinct
9%
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)
9%
Other
5%
Critically Endangered
2%
Least Concern
2%
Near Threatened
2%
Vulnerable
2%
Endangered
2%
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)
2%
Extinct in the Wild
2%
Data Deficient
2%
Not Evaluated
2%
New Conservation Status
2%
No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as Critically Endangered (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. It was last assessed in August 2017.

This market will resolve based on the conservation status assigned to the Baiji by the IUCN in the year 2050. The possible outcomes align with the official IUCN Red List categories: Least Concern, Near Threatened, Vulnerable, Endangered, Critically Endangered, Extinct in the Wild, Extinct, Data Deficient, Not Evaluated. In addition to these categories, the IUCN sometimes uses the subcategories Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild) and Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct).

Additional outcomes include: 

  • New Conservation Status: If the IUCN introduces a new category for species assessments.

  • No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons: If the IUCN discontinues the assessment of the Eastern Gorilla due to taxonomic changes, such as splitting it into multiple species. 

  • Other: For any other outcome not covered by the categories above. 

For more information about the Baiji:

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I have added Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild) and edited the description accordingly.