Will the Hawaiian Crow (Corvus hawaiiensis) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Hawaiian Crow (Corvus hawaiiensis) become extinct in the current century?

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4

Ṁ257

2099

65%

chance

1D

1W

1M

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The Hawaiian Crow, a.k.a. ʻalalā is a bird native to Hawaii. It is currently extinct in the wild, though reintroduction programs are underway. This market will resolve YES if the Hawaiian Crow is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawaiian_crow

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Extinct in the Wild

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22706052/94048187

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions

#Extinction Risk

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Spectrum News: Release of captive native Hawaiian Crows on Maui approved:

https://spectrumlocalnews.com/hi/hawaii/news/2024/01/14/release-of-captive-native-hawaiian-crows-on-maui-approved

Total captive population is 120

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