Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
15
แน270Dec 31
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2025, a Chinese-developed LLM is the best general-purpose LLM in the world. Specifically:
The model must be primarily developed by a Chinese company or research institution
"Best" will be determined by performance on LiveBench (or equivalent if LiveBench goes down before the end of 2025)
The model must be publicly known and commercially available.
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