Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026? | Manifold

Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

Mini

11

Ṁ991

Dec 31

6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES iff an LLM from Apple is at any point in the top 5 in the Chatbot Arena (https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard) before 2026.

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https://x.com/xanderai/status/1903138911725162983

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://twitter.com/rowancheung/status/1769509562380370035

bought Ṁ50 NO from 7% to 6%

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